The obsession over national polls for President needs to stop. Why? Because they mean nothing. No, really. They are meaningless.
Anybody who knows how the process even works knows that the President isn't elected by national popular vote. It was designed that way on purpose to make sure one or two areas of the country didn't have the whole say in who the President would be. The candidate can lose the national popular vote and still win office because he wins the bi-polar states that can't decide if they like freedom or not.
Instead of looking at national polls, we should be concentrating on individual states that matter. Florida, Ohio, and states that went for Obama that shouldn't have, like Virginia and North Carolina are where polls matter. Pennsylvania, which elected conservatives to both the U.S. Senate and their governor's office in 2010 also could play a key role. And the last time I checked, Obama was getting shellacked in Ohio and wasn't doing very well in the other states mentioned either.
The point is we know California and New York state are going to go for Obama. We know Texas is going to go to the Republican nominee. The question is, what are the so-called swing states and aberrations like North Carolina going to do? The answer at the moment is kick Obama's rear to the curb come November.
EDIT: So apparently some, including Mark Levin have found updated polls showing Romney trailing Obama in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. I've never been comfortable with a Romney-Obama contest because of Romney's weakness when it comes to socialized medicine. I'm still holding out the hope for a brokered convention.
Showing posts with label 2012. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2012. Show all posts
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Thursday, March 15, 2012
2012 Presidential Primary, March 15th
It's been hard for me to write updates on the 2012 Republican primary. Honestly, the entire process has made me sick to my stomach.
In a year where all the issues are falling on the side of conservatism, two of the four remaining candidates are spending the majority of their time smearing the other two instead of doing their due diligence in convincing me (and others) to vote for them.
Mitt Romney is the biggest offender, and Ron Paul is a close second. It was estimated in Florida that 95% of Romney's ads were negative attack ads against Gingrich instead of telling voters why they should vote for him. He did the same thing in 2008 against people like Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, and Mike Huckabee.
And these millions spent on attacks and smears have prompted the need to respond, and not always in the best way, either. So instead of the issues, we talk about what might or might not be the truth about personal attacks, instead of where each man stands on the issues and how he's going to defeat Barack Obama, the socialist.
And this, more than anything, perhaps even more than his standing next to Ted Kennedy calling his "collaborator" on 'RomneyCare', is what makes it impossible for me to vote for Romney in this primary. And while I'm acutely aware that Obama needs to be defeated and will have to hold my nose and vote for him in the general election if he's the nominee, many, many people will refuse to do so because he has alienated so many people with his smugness and attitude. That number of alienated and pissed off people may exceed even the appalling number of 2008 when McCain was the coronated nominee by the elites in their own minds. Because unfortunately there are still many people who are not engaged and are uninformed, and don't realize the imminent danger of letting Obama be re-elected. And all those people see in Romney are a rich guy with good hair that thinks he's entitled to the nomination because he's "next in line".
In a year where all the issues are falling on the side of conservatism, two of the four remaining candidates are spending the majority of their time smearing the other two instead of doing their due diligence in convincing me (and others) to vote for them.
Mitt Romney is the biggest offender, and Ron Paul is a close second. It was estimated in Florida that 95% of Romney's ads were negative attack ads against Gingrich instead of telling voters why they should vote for him. He did the same thing in 2008 against people like Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, and Mike Huckabee.
And these millions spent on attacks and smears have prompted the need to respond, and not always in the best way, either. So instead of the issues, we talk about what might or might not be the truth about personal attacks, instead of where each man stands on the issues and how he's going to defeat Barack Obama, the socialist.
And this, more than anything, perhaps even more than his standing next to Ted Kennedy calling his "collaborator" on 'RomneyCare', is what makes it impossible for me to vote for Romney in this primary. And while I'm acutely aware that Obama needs to be defeated and will have to hold my nose and vote for him in the general election if he's the nominee, many, many people will refuse to do so because he has alienated so many people with his smugness and attitude. That number of alienated and pissed off people may exceed even the appalling number of 2008 when McCain was the coronated nominee by the elites in their own minds. Because unfortunately there are still many people who are not engaged and are uninformed, and don't realize the imminent danger of letting Obama be re-elected. And all those people see in Romney are a rich guy with good hair that thinks he's entitled to the nomination because he's "next in line".
Tuesday, August 2, 2011
So it was "Plan See I told you so"
So it wasn't Plan A, or Plan B. It was Plan "See I told you so". (Wish I could take credit for that, but that's the intellectual property of Rush, and his book by the similar name).
Anyway, as I've already gone through in the last post, that "Boehner plan" was just the vehicle for the Senate watering down of everything, and here we are, with that "great and wonderful" deal passed and the stock market is tanking by 250 plus points. Must be great, eh?
Just more of the same. No cuts this year, no cuts next year, and promises to cut miniscule amount starting in 2013 that will never materialize. Except maybe the military gutting part. The left wing radicals love gutting the military.
And of course we have the Ministry of Truth (otherwise known as the media such as the NY Times and Washington Post) running around saying this was a victory for the TEA party and fiscal conservatives while at the same time using the same inflammatory rhetoric like calling the fiscally sane among us terrorists and hostage takers showing their outrage that the hard left wasn't able to get even MORE tax increases on top of the massive Obamacare taxes slated to begin soon enough to run business even further into the ground. Meanwhile the EPA and other agencies are busy spitting out regulation after regulation shutting down power plants and coal mines and many other businesses under the radar.
The only sane people in this country left are those that are aligned with groups like the TEA party for spending cuts, baseline budgeting reform, and deregulation. While it's true that there's tens of millions of people already on the team, it's unfortunate that there's not nearly enough representation in Congress to reflect this large number of people. I just hope the weak and feckless leadership of the Republican party hasn't undermined the momentum of the movement. But from what I've seen, anger is dwarfing apathy, and there's going to be a lot of Republicans paying a huge price in the next Congressional elections. And I'll be just one of many of those people working to those ends.
Anyway, as I've already gone through in the last post, that "Boehner plan" was just the vehicle for the Senate watering down of everything, and here we are, with that "great and wonderful" deal passed and the stock market is tanking by 250 plus points. Must be great, eh?
Just more of the same. No cuts this year, no cuts next year, and promises to cut miniscule amount starting in 2013 that will never materialize. Except maybe the military gutting part. The left wing radicals love gutting the military.
And of course we have the Ministry of Truth (otherwise known as the media such as the NY Times and Washington Post) running around saying this was a victory for the TEA party and fiscal conservatives while at the same time using the same inflammatory rhetoric like calling the fiscally sane among us terrorists and hostage takers showing their outrage that the hard left wasn't able to get even MORE tax increases on top of the massive Obamacare taxes slated to begin soon enough to run business even further into the ground. Meanwhile the EPA and other agencies are busy spitting out regulation after regulation shutting down power plants and coal mines and many other businesses under the radar.
The only sane people in this country left are those that are aligned with groups like the TEA party for spending cuts, baseline budgeting reform, and deregulation. While it's true that there's tens of millions of people already on the team, it's unfortunate that there's not nearly enough representation in Congress to reflect this large number of people. I just hope the weak and feckless leadership of the Republican party hasn't undermined the momentum of the movement. But from what I've seen, anger is dwarfing apathy, and there's going to be a lot of Republicans paying a huge price in the next Congressional elections. And I'll be just one of many of those people working to those ends.
Wednesday, May 25, 2011
More 2012 News
It looks like Sarah Palin is finally getting ready to enter the 2012 Republican Primary race. News is out now that she contracted with conservative filmmaker Stephen K. Bannon to produce a series of videos exposing all accomplishments and successes of her time in office as Alaska governor. The statist press that continually trashes her on a regular basis has never really quite gotten around to that ever, and would have people believe she sat around and did nothing for two and a half years other than running with McCain for the VP nomination in 2008.
Finally Palin will get a chance to tell her side of the story to a wider audience than she reached even with her best-selling books at a time when the race for the nomination is finally beginning to get started. Without the interruptions and trashing. With the entrance of Palin, and the anticipated entrance of Bachmann, that brings the race up to four excellent conservative choices, which is a far cry from the lonely one that 2008 saw in Fred Thompson.
The poll referenced in the previous post on political momentum showed Palin with almost universal name recognition but with only slightly over average positive momentum. Once she starts actively campaigning and she's out there in her own words more often, she will see that positive rating rise, as a big factor in her languishing where she is: the belief that she wasn't going to run.
Finally Palin will get a chance to tell her side of the story to a wider audience than she reached even with her best-selling books at a time when the race for the nomination is finally beginning to get started. Without the interruptions and trashing. With the entrance of Palin, and the anticipated entrance of Bachmann, that brings the race up to four excellent conservative choices, which is a far cry from the lonely one that 2008 saw in Fred Thompson.
The poll referenced in the previous post on political momentum showed Palin with almost universal name recognition but with only slightly over average positive momentum. Once she starts actively campaigning and she's out there in her own words more often, she will see that positive rating rise, as a big factor in her languishing where she is: the belief that she wasn't going to run.
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
2012 Republican Nomination News
Even with all the hype about Obama being unbeatable and polls saying this, 42% of people think he doesn't deserve re-election. It's just that people are de-spirited and don't think there's anyone worth voting for, just like 2008. However these people haven't met Herman Cain yet. The man has the charisma of an Obama with the true American substance to back it up. For those of you in the US that still have not gotten to know who Mr. Cain is, I would suggest you do.
According to recent polls, Cain is fast gaining the most momentum toward the nomination. Yes, it's early yet, but no matter what happens, it's a story unto itself that people are signing on in droves to a business friendly candidate that hasn't been polluted by years in politics and ready to support him as a presidential candidate. From winning the first GOP debate a few weeks ago to surging ahead of even people still pining for the liberal Christie, it looks good for Cain.
Besides, why should people be so de-spirited they don't think a guy that doesn't even know what year it is can't be defeated?
http://www.hermancainissues.com
http://arealleader.com
http://hermancain.com
Using these sites you can find out more about the man from the man and his staff.
According to recent polls, Cain is fast gaining the most momentum toward the nomination. Yes, it's early yet, but no matter what happens, it's a story unto itself that people are signing on in droves to a business friendly candidate that hasn't been polluted by years in politics and ready to support him as a presidential candidate. From winning the first GOP debate a few weeks ago to surging ahead of even people still pining for the liberal Christie, it looks good for Cain.
Besides, why should people be so de-spirited they don't think a guy that doesn't even know what year it is can't be defeated?
http://www.hermancainissues.com
http://arealleader.com
http://hermancain.com
Using these sites you can find out more about the man from the man and his staff.
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